John I agree. I believe by looking at previous seismicity one can determine zones of potential activity. I realize that probability is mans best guess from a lack of understanding. I am not a firm believer in an event occuring on a specific fault known by man. Barry John Hernlund wrote: > Hi All, > I just moved to LA, and have just been going through the messages > concerning prediction. This is a very interesting topic indeed. I had the > pleasure of attending a symposium last week which went through several > statistical models and fancy number schemes which may be applied to > prediction. The best talk was given by Dave Jackson, who has been interested > in this topic for some time now. He used only raw data from the past to try > and model future activity...and the result: you have a better idea of > earthquake risk from looking at a map of previous seismicity than just about > any other method. I think that anybody will find this simple method hard to > beat! > __________________________________________________________ Public Seismic Network Mailing List (PSN-L)
Larry Cochrane <cochrane@..............>