PSN-L Message - Subject: RE: Risk of Large earthquake in Californina!

This is not uncommon in this region. The following comes = from Richter, (Elementaly Seismology, C.F. Richter, 1958, p.71 – = Earthquake Swarms) “ Certain localities are frequently visited by earthquake swarms, = long series of large and small shocks with one outstanding principal event. = Such swarms are common in volcanic regions; they often occur before and = during eruptions” snip-snip some text “ sometimes as many as 100 a = day are occasionally recorded at the Haiwee seismological station in Owens = Valley.”

Regards, Steve Hammond PSN Aptos, = CA

From:= = psn-l-request@.............. [mailto:psn-l-request@............... On Behalf Of Barry Lotz
Sent: Saturday, October 03, 2009 9:11 AM
To: psn-l@..............
Subject: Re: Risk of Large earthquake in = Californina!

All
I did a study years ago. I won't go into it no. I divided California = and western Nevada into an east and west zone (relating to the two major = fault lines). I then plotted energy dissipation related to latitude. If = memory serves me well this was an area that was over due. I guess time will = tell. I wrote the program in Basic. Maybe I'll dig it up and refresh my = memory.
Barry
--- On Fri, 10/2/09, Dave Nelson = <davefnelson@.......> wrote:

From: Dave Nelson <davefnelson@.......>
Subject: Re: Risk of Large earthquake in Californina!
To: psn-l@..............
Date: Friday, October 2, 2009, 7:08 PM

All.

The region where the quakes are occurring is small volcanic area = . There have been small eruptions and lava flows within the past = century. The China Lake Navy base in that area actually has a geothermal = power or heating system which exploits heat from below the lava field . = There are small cinder cones clearly visible from highway 395 as you drive = through the Owens Valley.

However there was a very large quake in that area in 1872 estimated = between 7.6 and 8.

More likely just a small swarm but who knows .

Dave Nelson

~200Km south

----- Original Message ----- From: "J=F3n Fr=EDmann" <jonfr@.........>
To: "PSN-Postlist" <PSN-L@..............&g= t;
Sent: Saturday, October 03, 2009 01:52
Subject: Risk of Large earthquake in Californina!

Hi all,

I've been watching the earthquakes that have been happening in
Californina this past minites. This earthquakes look like they are = a
pre-earthquake squance to a bigger earthquake. I at least estimate = that
to be a higher chance, then it not to be. I would give it about = 60%
chance of happening, and about 40% chance of not happening. There = is
also a small earthquake pattern that I am seeing on local sensor = that
are also giving me the nessary clues to this.

I don't have a time a good timeframe at this momemt. But this = might
happen in the next 2 - 180 hours time period. I might get a good = time
frame, but I also might not get one at all.

Regards,
-- J=F3n Fr=EDmann

http://www.jonfr.com

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