Hello,

As that may be. The risk of a large earthquake at this area is still
remaning. Weather my prediction will come true is a other issue, they do
fail on a farily routine basic, even for my best effort trying to read
into earthquake patterns and the data collected.

This area might be volcanic. But there has been little activie in this
area for some time now, the unceartinys are great. See more here,
http://www.volcano.si.edu/world/region.cfm?rnum=3D1203

The current risk of a large earthquake are dropping, but they are still
there.

Regards,
J=C3=B3n Fr=C3=ADmann.

On lau, 2009-10-03 at 17:18 -0700, Stephen Hammond wrote:
> This is not uncommon in this region. The following comes from Richter,
> (Elementaly Seismology, C.F. Richter, 1958, p.71 =E2=80=93 Earthquake Swa=
rms)
> =E2=80=9C Certain localities are frequently visited by earthquake swarms,=
 long
> series of large and small shocks with one outstanding principal event.
> Such swarms are common in volcanic regions; they often occur before
> and during eruptions=E2=80=9D snip-snip some text =E2=80=9C sometimes as =
many as 100 a
> day are occasionally recorded at the Haiwee seismological station in
> Owens Valley.=E2=80=9D=20
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> Regards, Steve Hammond PSN Aptos, CA
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> From: psn-l-request@..............
> [mailto:psn-l-request@............... On Behalf Of Barry Lotz
> Sent: Saturday, October 03, 2009 9:11 AM
> To: psn-l@..............
> Subject: Re: Risk of Large earthquake in Californina!
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> All
> I did a study years ago. I won't go into it no. I divided California
> and western Nevada into an east and west zone (relating to the two
> major fault lines). I then plotted energy dissipation related to
> latitude. If memory serves me well this was an area that was over due.
> I guess time will tell. I wrote the program in Basic. Maybe I'll dig
> it up and refresh my memory.
> Barry=20
> --- On Fri, 10/2/09, Dave Nelson  wrote:
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> From: Dave Nelson 
> Subject: Re: Risk of Large earthquake in Californina!
> To: psn-l@..............
> Date: Friday, October 2, 2009, 7:08 PM
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> All.
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> The region where the quakes are occurring is small  volcanic area .
> There have been small eruptions and lava flows within the past
> century. The China Lake Navy base in that area  actually has a
> geothermal power or heating system which exploits heat from below  the
> lava field . There are small cinder cones clearly visible from highway
> 395 as you drive through the Owens Valley.
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> However there was a very large quake in that area in 1872 estimated
> between 7.6 and 8.
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> More likely just a small swarm but who knows .
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> Dave Nelson
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> ~200Km south
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> ----- Original Message ----- From: "J=C3=B3n Fr=C3=ADmann" 
> To: "PSN-Postlist" 
> Sent: Saturday, October 03, 2009 01:52
> Subject: Risk of Large earthquake in Californina!
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> Hi all,
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> I've been watching the earthquakes that have been happening in
> Californina this past minites. This earthquakes look like they are a
> pre-earthquake squance to a bigger earthquake. I at least estimate
> that
> to be a higher chance, then it not to be. I would give it about 60%
> chance of happening, and about 40% chance of not happening. There is
> also a small earthquake pattern that I am seeing on local sensor that
> are also giving me the nessary clues to this.
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> I don't have a time a good timeframe at this momemt. But this might
> happen in the next 2 - 180 hours time period. I might get a good time
> frame, but I also might not get one at all.
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> Regards,
> -- J=C3=B3n Fr=C3=ADmann
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> http://www.jonfr.com
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